Did Big Labor Sabotage the 2020 U.S. Census?

Thanks to freedom-loving citizens’ recent successes, the growth in Right to Work states’ political influence has greatly accelerated since 2012. How far would Big Labor bosses go to stall the trend?

A Million+ Nonexistent People to Have U.S. House Representation

Over the years, the ceaseless out-migration of employees and businesses from states where Big Labor can still get people terminated for refusal to bankroll a union they don’t want has helped substantially reduce the clout such states wield in federal politics.

The power of forced-dues bastions like California and New York over Washington, D.C., has suffered even more with the enactment, since 2012, of five new state laws protecting the Right to Work, brought about by grassroots activists with the National Right to Work Committee’s financial and strategic support.

As recently as 1980, Right to Work states (then 20 in number) collectively carried just 173 of the 270 electoral votes needed by a presidential hopeful to win the White House, and contained just 133 of the 218 congressional seats needed to capture a U.S. House majority.

The 27 Right to Work States Now Constitute an Electoral College Majority

By 2020, a U.S. presidential candidate could win a 270-268 electoral vote majority just by carrying all of the by-then 27 Right to Work states, and 49.7% of all U.S. House seats were located in Right to Work states.

Virtually all pundits expected forced-unionism states’ political clout to take another substantial hit once the post-2020 U.S. Census congressional redistricting mandated under our Constitution went into effect.

But when the counts for state populations in the latest decennial Census were announced early last year, they showed a much smaller shift of population to Right to Work states than had occurred in the past, or than had been anticipated.

Consequently, there is a net shift of just two U.S. House seats from forced-unionism states to Right to Work states in the new congressional maps that are being used for the first time this year. 

In the 2024 presidential election, unless an additional state Right to Work law is adopted between now and then, Right to Work states will collectively carry 272 electoral votes, just two more than they did in 2020.

Does the Census count show that forced-unionism New York and California are less unattractive to employees and business owners than previously thought, as some Empire and Golden State boosters tried to suggest last year?

Far from it.

This May 19, the Bureau of the Census (BOC) published the results of its post-enumeration analysis, as it does after every decennial enumeration of the U.S. population.

COVID-19 Is No Excuse For Counting People Who Aren’t There

The BOC now openly acknowledges that the 2020 Census was unprecedentedly inaccurate.

 BOC rank-and-file employees are subject to the monopoly-bargaining control of the rabidly political and partisan American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE) union. 

And they reportedly counted more than a million nonexistent people in forced-unionism Hawaii, Delaware, Rhode Island, Minnesota, New York, Massachusetts and Ohio.

As a consequence of these over-counts, Rhode Island, Minnesota, and possibly New York held on to one House seat apiece that they should have lost. At the same time, BOC under-counts of the populations of Right to Work Florida and Texas probably cost these states one House seat apiece.

Among the eight substantially over-counted states, only one, Utah, has a Right to Work law, and in this case the miscount did not make any difference with regard to redistricting.

National Right to Work Committee Vice President Matthew Leen commented:

“BOC spokesmen are now trying to scapegoat the COVID-19 pandemic for false numbers used to distribute U.S. House seats and presidential electoral votes in ways that benefit Big Labor.

“This is hard to credit. COVID-19 doesn’t make you count people who aren’t there. Unfortunately, under binding Supreme Court precedents, Americans will be stuck with House and electoral vote allocations based on false numbers until the next Census is completed.”


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